Updated on 2024/04/25

写真a

 
HONDA Akiharu
 
Organization
Academic Assembly Institute of Science and Technology CHIKYU SEIBUTSU KAGAKU KEIRETU Professor
Graduate School of Science and Technology Environmental Science and Technology Professor
Faculty of Science Department of Science Professor
Title
Professor
Other name(s)
研究活動(論文,発表)では,「HONDA Meiji」,「ホンダ メイジ」と表記
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Degree

  • 博士(理学) ( 1996.12   北海道大学 )

  • 修士(理学) ( 1993.3   北海道大学 )

Research Interests

  • 気象

  • 異常気象

  • 海氷

  • 豪雨

  • 大気大循環

  • 竜巻

  • 豪雪

  • 突風

  • 寒冷渦

  • 災害

  • 中高緯度

  • 雪氷

  • 北極

  • 地域

Research Areas

  • Social Infrastructure (Civil Engineering, Architecture, Disaster Prevention) / Disaster prevention engineering

  • Natural Science / Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences

Research History (researchmap)

  • Niigata University Faculty of ScienceDepartment of Science   Professor

    2018.5

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  • Niigata University Faculty of Science

    2009.6 - 2018.4

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  • 独立行政法人海洋研究開発機構   主任研究員

    2008.4 - 2009.6

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  • 独立行政法人海洋研究開発機構   研究員

    2004.7 - 2008.3

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  • 地球フロンティア研究システム   研究員

    1997.10 - 2004.6

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  • 日本学術振興会   特別研究員

    1996.1 - 1997.9

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Research History

  • Niigata University   Graduate School of Science and Technology Environmental Science and Technology   Professor

    2018.5

  • Niigata University   Faculty of Science Department of Science   Professor

    2018.5

  • Niigata University   Faculty of Science Department of Science   Associate Professor

    2017.4 - 2018.4

  • Niigata University   Graduate School of Science and Technology Environmental Science and Technology   Associate Professor

    2010.4 - 2018.4

  • Niigata University   Abolition organization Physicochemical Science   Associate Professor

    2009.6 - 2017.3

Education

  • Hokkaido University   Graduate School, Division of Natural Science   地球物理学専攻

    1993.4 - 1996.12

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    Country: Japan

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  • Hokkaido University   理学研究科博士前期課程   地球物理学専攻

    1991.4 - 1993.3

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  • Hokkaido University   Faculty of Science   Department of Geophysics

    1987.4 - 1991.3

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    Country: Japan

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Professional Memberships

  • 米国気象学会(American Meteorological Society)

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  • 米国地球物理学連合(American Geophysical Union)

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  • 日本気象学会

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  • 日本雪氷学会

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  • 日本地球惑星科学連合

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Qualification acquired

  • 第二級陸上特殊無線技師

  • High School Teacher Specialization License

  • Certified Weather Forecaster

 

Papers

  • Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters Reviewed

    Meiji Honda, Jun Inoue, Shozo Yamane

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   36   L037079   2009.4

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION  

    Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima in early autumn on the wintertime climate over Eurasia is investigated. Observational evidence shows that significant cold anomalies over the Far East in early winter and zonally elongated cold anomalies from Europe to Far East in late winter are associated with the decrease of the Arctic sea-ice cover in the preceding summer-to-autumn seasons. Results from numerical experiments using an atmospheric general circulation model support these notions. The remote response in early winter is regarded as a stationary Rossby wave generated thermally through an anomalous turbulent heat fluxes as a result of anomalous ice-cover over the Barents-Kara Seas in late autumn, which tends to induce an amplification of the Siberian high causing colder conditions over the Far East. The late-winter cold anomalies over Eurasia are also reproduced in our experiment, which is associated with the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Citation: Honda, M., J. Inoue, and S. Yamane (2009), Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L08707, doi: 10.1029/2008GL037079.

    DOI: 10.1029/2008GL037079

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  • Interannual seesaw between the Aleutian and Icelandic lows. Part I: Seasonal dependence and life cycle Reviewed

    M Honda, H Nakamura, J Ukita, Kousaka, I, K Takeuchi

    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE   14 ( 6 )   1029 - 1042   2001

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC  

    The seasonal dependence and life cycle of the well-known interannual seesawlike oscillation between the intensities of the surface Aleutian and Icelandic lows (AL and IL, respectively) are investigated, based on the National Meteorological Center operational analyses for the period from 1973 to 1994. It is found that the correlation between the AL and IL intensities is significantly negative only from February to mid-March. It is also found that the seesaw exhibits an equivalent barotropic structure within the troposphere. For this late-winter period an index is defined that measures the intensity difference between the two lows. A linear lag regression analysis between this index and circulation anomalies averaged in each of the nine 45-day periods from early winter to midspring reveals that the stationary AL and IL anomalies constituting the seesaw do not start developing simultaneously over the respective ocean basins in the course of a particular winter season. Rather, the seesaw formation is initiated by the amplification of the AL anomalies with wave-activity accumulation in early through midwinter. In midwinter, part of the wave activity accumulated over the North Pacific propagates across North America in the form of a stationary Rossby wave train, which appears to trigger the formation of stationary anomalies over the North Atlantic. The IL anomalies thus initiated amplify and then become matured by late winter through the persistent feedback forcing from migratory eddies around the Atlantic storm track, while the AL anomalies remain strong until late winter through the continual feedback forcing from the Pacific storm track. It is suggested that interannual variability in the IL intensity for late winter tends to be strongly influenced by the AL anomalies that develop over the North Pacific in early through midwinter. The AL-IL seesaw is robust in a sense that it is apparent even after the influence of El Nino-Southern Oscillation is statistically removed from the data, suggestive of the importance of midlatitude processes in the seesaw formation.

    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<1029:ISBTAA>2.0.CO;2

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  • Dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of atmospheric response to anomalous sea-ice extent in the Sea of Okhotsk Reviewed

    M Honda, K Yamazaki, H Nakamura, K Takeuchi

    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE   12 ( 12 )   3347 - 3358   1999.12

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC  

    Influence of sea-ice extent anomalies within the Sea of Okhotsk on the large-scale atmospheric circulation is investigated through an analysis of the dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of the response in an atmospheric general circulation model to specified anomalous sea-ice cover. Significant response appears not only around the Sea of Okhotsk, but also downstream over the Bering Sea, Alaska, and North America in the form of a stationary wave train in the troposphere. This remote response, associated with wave activity flux emanating from che Okhotsk area to the downstream, is regarded as a stationary Rossby wave generated thermally by the anomalous turbulent heat fluxes from the ocean surface as a result of the anomalous sea-ice cover. The Pacific storm track in the model that extends zonally at 35 degrees N is located too far south of the Sea of Okhotsk to exert substantial feedback forcing on the local and remote response. Since a similar stationary wave train is identified in the composite difference fields of the observed data between heavy and light ice years, it is believed that the model appropriately reproduces the real atmospheric response to the Okhotsk sea-ice extent anomalies. Simulated seesaws in the meridional surface wind and surface air temperature anomalies between the eastern Sea of Okhotsk and eastern Bering Sea associated with the local and remote response, respectively, to the Okhotsk sea-ice anomalies seem to be consistent with the observed seesaw in the anomalous sea-ice cover between these maritime regions. There is a hint of reinforcement of the remote response around the Alaskan Pacific coast through destabilization of barotropic Rossby waves due to the thermal damping effect associated with the anomalous atmosphere-ocean heat exchange both in the model and real atmosphere.

    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3347:DATCOA>2.0.CO;2

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  • High moisture confluence in Japan Sea polar air mass convergence zone captured by hourly radiosonde launches from a ship Reviewed

    Yoshihiro Tachibana, Meiji Honda, Hatsumi Nishikawa, Hiroaki Kawase, Haruna Yamanaka, Daichi Hata, Yuji Kashino

    Scientific Reports   12 ( 1 )   2022.12

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC  

    Abstract

    Some of the heaviest snowfalls in urban areas in the world occur in Japan, particularly in regions that face the Japan Sea. Many heavy snowfalls are produced by a Japan Sea polar air mass convergence zone (JPCZ), which is an atmospheric river-like cloud zone that forms when Siberian cold air flows over the warm Japan Sea. Quantifying how the air–sea interaction strengthens the JPCZ is key to snowfall prediction. However, until our observations with hourly meteorological balloon launches from a training vessel in 2022, no simultaneous air–sea observations targeting the JPCZ had been conducted. Our observations showed that wind direction shifted drastically by about 90 degrees from the surface to an altitude of about 3.5 km within a narrow horizontal range of about 15 km, indicating airflow convergence from the surroundings. Maximum temperature difference between surface air (3 °C) and water was 11 °C near the JPCZ centre with 17 m s<sup>−1</sup> wind speed. Large amounts of heat, 718 W m<sup>−2</sup>, was thus gained from the warm sea. Water vapour was also concentrated by the horizontal convergence, which caused heavy snow, equivalent to 100 cm of snowfall in 7 h. The surrounding sea greatly affects moisture formation within the JPCZ.

    DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-23371-x

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    Other Link: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-23371-x

  • Seamless Detection of Cutoff Lows and Preexisting Troughs Reviewed

    Satoru Kasuga, Meiji Honda, Jinro Ukita, Shozo Yamane, Hiroaki Kawase, Akira Yamazaki

    Monthly Weather Review   149 ( 9 )   3119 - 3134   2021.9

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:American Meteorological Society  

    <title>Abstract</title>We propose a new scheme based on geopotential height fields to detect cutoff lows starting in the preexisting trough stage. The intensity and scale derived from the proposed scheme will allow for a better understanding of the cutoff low life cycle. These cutoff lows often accompany mesoscale disturbances, causing adverse weather-related events, such as intense torrential rainfall and/or tornadoes. The proposed scheme quantifies the geometric features of a depression from its horizontal height profile. The height slope of a line intersecting the depression bottom and the nearest tangential point (optimal slope) locally indicates the intensity and scale of an isolated depression.

    The strength of the proposed scheme is that, by removing a local background height slope from a geopotential height field, the cutoff low and its preexisting trough are seamlessly detected as an identical depression. The distribution maps for the detected cutoff lows and preexisting troughs are illustrated along with their intensities, sizes, and local background flows estimated from snapshot height fields. We conducted climatological comparisons of cutoff lows to determine the utility of the proposed scheme.

    DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-20-0255.1

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    Other Link: https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/journals/mwre/aop/MWR-D-20-0255.1/MWR-D-20-0255.1.xml

  • Regional Snowfall Distributions in a Japan-Sea Side Area of Japan Associated with Jet Variability and Blocking Reviewed

    Yamazaki, Akira, Honda, Meiji, Kawase, Hiroaki

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   97 ( 1 )   205 - 226   2019.2

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:METEOROLOGICAL SOC JAPAN  

    This study found that regional snowfall distributions in a Japan-Sea side area of Japan are controlled by intra-seasonal jet variability, particularly the 10-day-timescale quasi-stationary Rossby waves across the Eurasian continent and the atmospheric blocking over the East Asian region. This study was mainly focused on the Niigata area, which is representative of heavy snowfall areas in Japan. Based on previous studies, three types of dominant snowfall distributions were defined: (1) the plain (P) type, which is characterized by heavy snowfall events predominant in coastal regions of the Niigata area; (2) the mountain (M) type, which occurs in the mountainous regions; and (3) the PM type, which occurs across the whole Niigata area.Our results revealed that all distribution types were related to the southward shift of the westerly jet over Japan associated with an intensified trough, i.e., cyclonic anomalies, originating from quasi-stationary Rossby waves along westerly jets over Eurasia (Eurasian jets). The cyclonic anomalies were found to be also related to blocking cyclones because the frequency of blocking events considerably increased in the East Siberian region. The mechanisms leading to trough intensification were different among the events of the three snowfall types. The formation of Siberian blocking with relatively different positions and different paths of quasi-stationary Rossby wave packet propagation along Eurasian jets was evident in the distribution types. Therefore, local-scale snowfall distributions in the Japan-Sea side area are determined by anomalous large-scale circulations, which can be evidently distinguished in the global reanalysis data.

    DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2019-012

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  • Weak Stratospheric Polar Vortex Events Modulated by the Arctic Sea-Ice Loss Reviewed

    Kazuhira Hoshi, Jinro Ukita, Meiji Honda, Tetsu Nakamura, Koji Yamazaki, Yasunobu Miyoshi, Ralf Jaiser

    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES   124 ( 2 )   858 - 869   2019.1

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION  

    We characterize the differences in the upward planetary-scale wave propagation during observed weak polar vortex (WPV) events between heavy- and light-sea-ice years in the Barents-Kara Sea based on a composite analysis for the period of 1979-2015. Upward wave propagation during WPV events in heavy-ice years is dominated by the wavenumber 1 component. In contrast, WPV events occurring in light-ice years are characterized by stronger wavenumber 2 propagation, which is caused by the tropospheric wavenumber 2 response to sea-ice reduction in the Barents-Kara Sea. The above observed features are supported by an Atmospheric General Circulation Model experiment. Thus, under present climate conditions, Arctic sea-ice loss is a possible factor modulating the wave propagation during the WPV events. We also find that the WPV events in light-ice years have stronger stratosphere-troposphere coupling, followed by colder midlatitude surface conditions particularly over Eurasia.

    DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029222

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  • Interhemispheric Synchronization Between the AO and the AAO

    Y. Tachibana, Y. Inoue, K. K. Komatsu, T. Nakamura, M. Honda, K. Ogata, K. Yamazaki

    Geophysical Research Letters   45 ( 24 )   2018.12

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:American Geophysical Union (AGU)  

    Abstract

    Teleconnections between lower and higher latitude regions are widely known in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. To broaden our view of these teleconnections, we searched a reanalysis data set for evidence of a teleconnection between the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), two widely separated circumpolar phenomena. Statistical analysis of the Japanese 55‐year reanalysis data set showed significant in‐phase synchronization between the AO and AAO, particularly in October and February, with a vertical structure extending from the troposphere to the stratosphere. This vertical structure may suggest a stratospheric control, and we did not find a significant signature indicating a tropical ocean control. We also observed decadal‐scale modulation of the synchronicity. Observational evidence implies that the stratospheric meridional circulation may be responsible for AO‐AAO synchronization.

    DOI: 10.1029/2018gl081002

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    Other Link: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1029/2018GL081002

  • Poleward eddy heat flux anomalies associated with recent Arctic sea ice loss Reviewed

    Kazuhira Hoshi, Jinro Ukita, Meiji Honda, Katsushi Iwamoto, Tetsu Nakamura, Koji Yamazaki, Klaus Dethloff, Ralf Jaiser, Doerthe Handorf

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   44 ( 1 )   446 - 454   2017.1

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION  

    Details of the characteristics of upward planetary wave propagation associated with Arctic sea ice loss under present climate conditions are examined using reanalysis data and simulation results. Recent Arctic sea ice loss results in increased stratospheric poleward eddy heat fluxes in the eastern and central Eurasia regions and enhanced upward propagation of planetary-scale waves in the stratosphere. A linear decomposition scheme reveals that this modulation of the planetary waves arises from coupling of the climatological planetary wavefield with temperature anomalies for the eastern Eurasia region and with meridional wind anomalies for the central Eurasia region. Propagation of stationary Rossby wave packets results in a dynamic link between these temperature and meridional wind anomalies with sea ice loss over the Barents-Kara Sea. The results provide strong evidence that recent Arctic sea ice loss significantly modulates atmospheric circulation in winter to modify poleward eddy heat fluxes so as to drive stratosphere-troposphere coupling processes.

    DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071893

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  • Characteristics of Atmospheric Circulations Causing Heavy Snowfall Events in the San-In District during 2016/17 winter

    Honda Meiji, Kasuga Satoru, Yamazaki Akira, Kawashima Katsuhisa

    Summaries of JSSI and JSSE Joint Conference on Snow and Ice Research   2017   55 - 55   2017

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The Japanese Society of Snow and Ice / Japan Society for Snow Engineering  

    DOI: 10.14851/jcsir.2017.0_55

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  • A Case Study of the Snowfall Events in the San-In District during 2016/17 Winter using PV Map System

    Kasuga Satoru, Honda Meiji, Ukita Jinro

    Summaries of JSSI and JSSE Joint Conference on Snow and Ice Research   2017   56 - 56   2017

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The Japanese Society of Snow and Ice / Japan Society for Snow Engineering  

    DOI: 10.14851/jcsir.2017.0_56

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  • On the atmospheric response experiment to a Blue Arctic Ocean Reviewed

    Tetsu Nakamura, Koji Yamazaki, Meiji Honda, Jinro Ukita, Ralf Jaiser, Doerthe Handorf, Klaus Dethloff

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   43 ( 19 )   10394 - 10402   2016.10

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION  

    We demonstrated atmospheric responses to a reduction in Arctic sea ice via simulations in which Arctic sea ice decreased stepwise from the present-day range to an ice-free range. In all cases, the tropospheric response exhibited a negative Arctic Oscillation (AO)-like pattern. An intensification of the climatological planetary-scale wave due to the present-day sea ice reduction on the Atlantic side of the Arctic Ocean induced stratospheric polar vortex weakening and the subsequent negative AO. Conversely, strong Arctic warming due to ice-free conditions across the entire Arctic Ocean induced a weakening of the tropospheric westerlies corresponding to a negative AO without troposphere-stratosphere coupling, for which the planetary-scale wave response to a surface heat source extending to the Pacific side of the Arctic Ocean was responsible. Because the resultant negative AO-like response was accompanied by secondary circulation in the meridional plane, atmospheric heat transport into the Arctic increased, accelerating the Arctic amplification.

    DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070526

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  • The stratospheric pathway for Arctic impacts on midlatitude climate Reviewed

    Tetsu Nakamura, Koji Yamazaki, Katsushi Iwamoto, Meiji Honda, Yasunobu Miyoshi, Yasunobu Ogawa, Yoshihiro Tomikawa, Jinro Ukita

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   43 ( 7 )   3494 - 3501   2016.4

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION  

    Recent evidence from both observations and model simulations suggests that an Arctic sea ice reduction tends to cause a negative Arctic Oscillation (AO) phase with severe winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere, which is often preceded by weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex. Although this evidence hints at a stratospheric involvement in the Arctic-midlatitude climate linkage, the exact role of the stratosphere remains elusive. Here we show that tropospheric AO response to the Arctic sea ice reduction largely disappears when suppressing the stratospheric wave mean flow interactions in numerical experiments. The results confirm a crucial role of the stratosphere in the sea ice impacts on the midlatitudes by coupling between the stratospheric polar vortex and planetary-scale waves. Those results and consistency with observation-based evidence suggest that a recent Arctic sea ice loss is linked to midlatitudes extreme weather events associated with the negative AO phase.

    DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068330

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  • Synoptic Conditions Causing an Extreme Snowfall Event in the Kanto-Koshin District of Japan on 14-15 February 2014 Reviewed

    Meiji Honda, Akira Yamazaki, Akira Kuwano-Yoshida, Yusuke Kimura, Katsushi Iwamoto

    SOLA   12   259 - 264   2016

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:METEOROLOGICAL SOC JAPAN  

    Synoptic conditions causing an extreme snowfall event in the Kanto-Koshin district occurred on 14-15 February 2014 are investigated through a reanalysis data set. Associated with a developing cyclone passing the south coast of Japan, persistent snowfall exceeding more than 24 hours over the Kofu-Basin resulted in 112 cm snowfall at Kofu. Slow progress of the south-coast cyclone also contributed to the long snowfall duration. An anticyclone developed over the northern Japan (similar to 1032 hPa) also contributed to this extreme snowfall. This anticyclone brought warm and moist air inflow by southeasterlies forming moisture flux convergence over the Kanto-Koshin district on the morning of 14th when snowfall started in the Koshin district in spite that the south-coast cyclone was located to the south of Kyushu. Further, ageostrophic cold northerlies with high pressure extension from the anticyclone by "cold-air damming (CAD)" would suppress warming with the approaching south-coast cyclone and keep snowfall until the morning of 15th. In other four heavy snowfall events at Kofu, snowfall durations were almost 12 hours. Although anticyclone to the north and CAD were identified in each case, the moisture transport from the southeast was not evident and moisture flux convergence was not formed earlier.

    DOI: 10.2151/sola.2016-051

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  • Summer-to-Winter Sea-Ice Linkage between the Arctic Ocean and the Okhotsk Sea through Atmospheric Circulation Reviewed

    Masayo Ogi, Bunmei Taguchi, Meiji Honda, David G. Barber, Soren Rysgaard

    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE   28 ( 12 )   4971 - 4979   2015.6

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC  

    Contemporary climate science seeks to understand the rate and magnitude of a warming global climate and how it impacts regional variability and teleconnections. One of the key drivers of regional climate is the observed reduction in end of summer sea-ice extent over the Arctic. Here the authors show that interannual variations between the September Arctic sea-ice concentration, especially in the East Siberian Sea, and the maximum Okhotsk sea-ice extent in the following winter are positively correlated, which is not explained by the recent warming trend only. An increase of sea ice both in the East Siberian Sea and the Okhotsk Sea and corresponding atmospheric patterns, showing a seesaw between positive anomalies of sea level pressures over the Arctic Ocean and negative anomalies over the midlatitudes, are related to cold anomalies over the high-latitude Eurasian continent. The patterns of atmospheric circulation and air temperatures are similar to those of the annually integrated Arctic Oscillation (AO). The negative annual AO forms colder anomalies in autumn sea surface temperatures both over the East Siberian Sea and the Okhotsk Sea, which causes heavy sea-ice conditions in both seas through season-to-season persistence.

    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00297.1

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  • A negative phase shift of the winter AO/NAO due to the recent Arctic sea-ice reduction in late autumn Reviewed

    Tetsu Nakamura, Koji Yamazaki, Katsushi Iwamoto, Meiji Honda, Yasunobu Miyoshi, Yasunobu Ogawa, Jinro Ukita

    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES   120 ( 8 )   3209 - 3227   2015.4

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION  

    This paper examines the possible linkage between the recent reduction in Arctic sea-ice extent and the wintertime Arctic Oscillation (AO)/North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Observational analyses using the ERA interim reanalysis and merged Hadley/Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature data reveal that a reduced (increased) sea-ice area in November leads to more negative (positive) phases of the AO and NAO in early and late winter, respectively. We simulate the atmospheric response to observed sea-ice anomalies using a high-top atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM for Earth Simulator, AFES version 4.1). The results from the simulation reveal that the recent Arctic sea-ice reduction results in cold winters in mid-latitude continental regions, which are linked to an anomalous circulation pattern similar to the negative phase of AO/NAO with an increased frequency of large negative AO events by a factor of over two. Associated with this negative AO/NAO phase, cold air advection from the Arctic to the mid-latitudes increases. We found that the stationary Rossby wave response to the sea-ice reduction in the Barents Sea region induces this anomalous circulation. We also found a positive feedback mechanism resulting from the anomalous meridional circulation that cools the mid-latitudes and warms the Arctic, which adds an extra heating to the Arctic air column equivalent to about 60% of the direct surface heat release from the sea-ice reduction. The results from this high-top model experiment also suggested a critical role of the stratosphere in deepening the tropospheric annular mode and modulation of the NAO in mid to late winter through stratosphere-troposphere coupling.

    DOI: 10.1002/2014JD022848

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  • Heavy Snowfall in Kanto and on the Pacific Ocean Side of Northern Japan Associated with Western Pacific Blocking Reviewed

    Akira Yamazaki, Meiji Honda, Akira Kuwano-Yoshida

    SOLA   11   59 - 64   2015

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:METEOROLOGICAL SOC JAPAN  

    The influence of large-scale atmospheric blocking over the northwestern Pacific on heavy snowfall events in the Kanto area and on the Pacific Ocean side of northern Japan (PNJ) within the time scale of similar to 10 days was examined through blocking case studies. The past 14 blocking cases over the Pacific, including the blocking during early- to mid-February 2014 that influenced a record-breaking snowfall over the Kanto area, were analyzed using a long-term reanalysis dataset and local meteorological observation station data. Results reveal that blocking over the Pacific causes large precipitation over the Kanto area and the PNJ by shifting cyclone (storm) tracks towards the east coast of Japan from their usual eastward course across the mid-Pacific via the south coast of Japan. Excessive passing of cyclones caused large precipitation in the Kanto area and snowfall in the PNJ. In the blocking cases with heavy snowfall events in the Kanto area, a strong cold-air inflow over Japan also existed in the lower troposphere originating from east Siberia, which initiated synoptic ground cold-air environments in the Kanto area.

    DOI: 10.2151/sola.2015-013

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  • Characteristics of Convergent Snowband Observed over the Japan Sea Coast in Winter

    Hatakeyama Hikaru, Honda Meiji, Iwamoto Katsushi, Ukita Jinro

    Summaries of JSSI and JSSE Joint Conference on Snow and Ice Research   2015   59 - 59   2015

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The Japanese Society of Snow and Ice / Japan Society for Snow Engineering  

    DOI: 10.14851/jcsir.2015.0_59

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  • Synoptic situations causing extreme heavy snowfall event over Kanto-Koshin region for 14-15 February 2014

    Honda Meiji, Yamazaki Akira, Kuwano-Yoshida Akira, Fujita Akira, Kimura Yusuke, Iwamoto Katsushi

    Summaries of JSSI and JSSE Joint Conference on Snow and Ice Research   2015   57 - 57   2015

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The Japanese Society of Snow and Ice / Japan Society for Snow Engineering  

    DOI: 10.14851/jcsir.2015.0_57

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  • Relationship between Snowfall Distribution in the Niigata Area and Variability of the Upper Tropospheric Jet Stream

    Yamazaki Akira, Honda Meiji, Kawase Hiroaki

    Summaries of JSSI and JSSE Joint Conference on Snow and Ice Research   2015   235 - 235   2015

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The Japanese Society of Snow and Ice / Japan Society for Snow Engineering  

    DOI: 10.14851/jcsir.2015.0_235

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  • Recurrence of Intraseasonal Cold Air Outbreak during the 2009/2010 Winter in Japan and its Ties to the Atmospheric Condition over the Barents-Kara Sea Reviewed

    Masatake E. Hori, Jun Inoue, Takashi Kikuchi, Meiji Honda, Yoshihiro Tachibana

    SOLA   7   25 - 28   2011

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    In the winter of 2009/2010, Japan and the East Asian region experienced a frequent occurrence of cold air outbreaks. Although the winter average temperature in the Japan main islands was slightly positive (+0.81 degrees C for DJF average and +0.71 degrees C for NDJFM average), repeated decline in temperature was notable throughout the season. One explanation for this abnormal winter season is the extremely negative condition of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) that persisted from December to mid-January. However, AO alone does not provide sufficient explanation for the cold air outbreak during November or its intraseasonal periodicity. A case study of the cold air outbreak that reached Japan on Dec. 18 reveals an anomalous ridge forming over the Barents-Kara Sea, which leads to the cold air accumulation over western Siberia. The pressure anomaly subsequently shifted westward to mature into a blocking high which created a wave-train pattern downstream, advecting the cold air eastward towards East Asia and Japan. The sequence of events was also apparent in multiple cases throughout the season. This study suggests that there is a strong and systematic linkage in the intraseasonal timescale between the atmospheric condition over the Barents-Kara Sea and the cold air accumulation over the Eurasian continent, leading to the anomalous cold air outbreak over East Asia and Japan. The mechanism may also provide explanation to extreme winter conditions such as those observed during the winter of 2010/2011.

    DOI: 10.2151/sola.2011-007

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  • Northern hemisphere extratropical tropospheric planetary waves and their low-frequency variability: Their vertical structure and interaction with transient eddies and surface thermal contrasts Invited Reviewed

    Hisashi Nakamura, Takafumi Miyasaka, Yu Kosaka, Koutarou Takaya, Meiji Honda

    Climate Dynamics: Why Does Climate Vary?   189   149 - 179   2010

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    DOI: 10.1029/2008gm000789

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  • Influence of the Aleutian-Icelandic Low Seesaw and ENSO onto the Stratosphere in Ensemble Winter Hindcasts Reviewed

    Yvan J. Orsolini, Nils Gunnar Kvamsto, Ina T. Kindem, Meiji Honda, Hisashi Nakamura

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   86 ( 5 )   817 - 825   2008.10

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    Using an ensemble of wintertime hindcasts with a high-resolution (T106L60) Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) forced by observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and extending into the stratosphere, we investigate the formation and lifecycle of the Aleutian-Icelandic low Seesaw (AIS) during the 1978 to 1993 period. The AIS has been newly proposed to be an important mode of variability, linking the major wintertime surface lows, the Icelandic Low and the Aleutian Low, in late winter, and thereby linking climate variability over the North Pacific and the North Atlantic. We demonstrate for the first time with a stratosphere-troposphere model, that a coherent, ensemble-mean AIS extension into the stratosphere exists, where its presence modulates ultra-long planetary wave propagation and the polar night jet intensity. The model AIS peaks in February, when the Aleutian and Icelandic Low and-correlation maximizes at -0.59. The AIS provides a new way to describe the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon influence into the stratosphere, For example, El-Nino conditions correspond to a deeper than normal Aleutian Low, extending its influence into the Icelandic sector as an AIS negative phase (weakened Icelandic Low), hence enhanced planetary wave vertical propagation and a weakened stratospheric polar vortex. This maturation of the AIS in late winter explains the intra-seasonal variability of the stratospheric response to ENSO, which peaks in late winter. Internal model variability is large and enhanced potential predictability is found primarily in the western hemisphere, with a western Atlantic maxima being more pronounced in the stratosphere than in the upper troposphere.

    DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.86.817

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  • Inter-basin link between the North Pacific and North Atlantic in the upper tropospheric circulation: Its dominance and seasonal dependence Reviewed

    Meiji Honda, Shozo Yamane, Hisashi Nakamura

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   85 ( 6 )   899 - 908   2007.12

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    Inter-basin links between the North Pacific and North Atlantic in the wintertime upper-tropospheric circulation over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere, including their structure, dominance and seasonal dependence, are examined based on the structures of the leading EOFs for monthly height anomalies for the second half of the last century. Dominant variability in the upper troposphere is found to reflect the corresponding modulations in the strength of the inter-basin dynamical link between the North Pacific and North Atlantic. The first and second EOFs for the upper troposphere represent hemispheric patterns, showing the coherent variability between the North Pacific and North Atlantic. They essentially reflect the respective out-of-phase and in-phase relationships between the Icelandic low (IL) and Aleutian low (AL), as upper-level manifestations of the AL-IL seesaw and the cold ocean-warm land (COWL) pattern, respectively. Dominance of the AL-IL seesaw in the upper-tropospheric leading EOF is a manifestation of a dynamical linkage between the North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific-North American pattern. The manifestation of the COWL pattern in the second EOF is consistent with a pronounced wintertime warming trend over landmasses and concomitant deepening of the AL and IL observed in the last three decades. The seasonal evolution of the AL-IL seesaw and COWL pattern also manifest themselves in the seasonal modulations in the first and second EOFs of the upper-tropospheric variability, respectively.

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  • Intraseasonal variability and anomalous weather conditions in mid-latitudes: Winter climate over the Far East Invited Reviewed

    Honda, M, K. Takaya

    Tenki   54 ( 7 )   589 - 592   2007.7

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  • Northern Hemisphere sea ice variability: lag structure and its implications Reviewed

    Jinro Ukita, Meiji Honda, Hisashi Nakamura, Yoshihiro Tachibana, Donald J. Cavalieri, Claire L. Parkinson, Hiroshi Koide, Kentaro Yamamoto

    TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY   59 ( 2 )   261 - 272   2007.3

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    An analysis of satellite sea-ice records for recent decades reveals a highly coherent spatial and temporal structure of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) wintertime sea-ice variability and its close link to anomalous atmospheric circulation. The dominant mode of the wintertime sea-ice variability is characterized by a double-dipole composed of one dipole over the North Atlantic and the other over the North Pacific, which are mutually correlated interannually. This dominant sea-ice mode is lag correlated with the winter-averaged North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index at lags up to two winters when the NAO leads. In the sub-Arctic, significant lead-lag relationships exist between sea-ice extent (SIE) anomalies on regional scales, which are closely associated with atmospheric circulation anomalies. An eastward evolving pattern is identified in regional SIE anomalies from the Labrador to Nordic and farther to the Okhotsk Sea at multi-year time-scales, led by anomalously weak Aleutian and strong Icelandic lows. The results suggest the presence of climate memories over the North Atlantic and Eurasia, which are crucial for recent downward trends in the NH SIE by transforming atmospheric influences into slower changes in sea-ice conditions. The summer Okhotsk high, which leads to a sea-ice reduction along the east Siberian coast and further affects sea-ice conditions over the Arctic Ocean, is a key link between summer Arctic and winter sub-Arctic sea-ice trends. We also conjecture that variations and changes in the NH sea-ice conditions are linked to climate variability in the tropics.

    DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00223.x

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  • Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Variability: Lag Structure and its Implications

    UKITA Jinro, NAKAMURA Hisashi, HONDA Meiji, TACHIBANA Yoshihiro

    Preprints of the Annual Conference, Japanese Society of Snow and Ice   2007   194 - 194   2007

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    DOI: 10.14850/jssi.2007.0.194.0

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  • Intra-seasonal relationship between the Northern Hemisphere sea ice variability and the North Atlantic Oscillation Reviewed

    Kentaro Yamamoto, Yoshihiro Tachibana, Meiji Honda, Jinro Ukita

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   33 ( 14 )   L14711   2006.7

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    An intra-seasonal relationship, including a possible feedback, is investigated between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and a hemispheric-scale seesaw-like pattern dominant in sea ice variability over the wintertime Northern Hemisphere, with one polarity in the Bering and Labrador Seas and the other in the Okhotsk and Greenland-Barents Seas. Statistical analysis using observational data suggests that a particular phase of NAO and anomalous atmospheric circulation in the Pacific during early winter contribute toward the development of the midwinter hemispheric sea-ice seesaw. In contrast, the ice seesaw tends to damp the preexisting NAO signal during late winter, indicating a reversal of the phase relation between them. This NAO damping may be triggered by the Pacific sea-ice anomalies. Results from numerical experiments generally support this notion and further suggests a stationary Rossby wave train emanated from the North Pacific as a dynamical mechanism for damping the NAO signal.

    DOI: 10.1029/2006GL026286

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  • Influence of the Northern Hemisphere annular mode on ENSO by modulating westerly wind bursts Reviewed

    T Nakamura, Y Tachibana, M Honda, S Yamane

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   33 ( 7 )   L07709   2006.4

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    The influence of the Northern Hemisphere annular mode (NAM) on the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) was examined using 41-year reanalysis data and an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM). Significant lag correlations between the NAM index for spring and the Nino-3 index for the following winter were revealed. An anomalous lower tropospheric westerly associated with modulation of the westerly wind burst (WWB) over the western tropical Pacific in spring often coincided with the positive phase of the NAM and extended eastward during summer and autumn. Then, warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies reflecting El Nino appeared over the eastern tropical Pacific in early winter. In an AGCM experiment in which SSTs were fixed as a climatological-mean monthly distribution, the interannual modulation of WWB was significantly associated with NAM variability in spring, supporting the possible influence of the NAM in spring on an ENSO outbreak the following winter.

    DOI: 10.1029/2005GL025432

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  • Reexamination of the Northern Hemisphere Sea Level Pressure Variability by the Independent Component Analysis Reviewed

    Atsushi Mori, Nobuaki Kawasaki, Kensuke Yamazaki, Meiji Honda, Hisashi Nakamura

    SOLA   2   5 - 8   2006

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    The results of the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis applied to the sea-level pressure (SLP) variability in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere is reexamined from viewpoint of statistical independence. For this purpose, "Independent Component Analysis" is introduced, whose effectiveness is demonstrated in its application to a set of simple hypothetical models. While its application to stratospheric variability confirms the relevance of the EOF analysis, its application to the SLP suggests that the two leading components of the EOF analysis are likely superpositions of two statistically independent signals. One of them represents a seesaw-like relationship in the intensities between the surface Aleutian and Icelandic lows, and the other is characterized by a significant long-term trend with the cold ocean-warm land pattern.

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  • Impacts of the Aleutian-Icelandic low seesaw on surface climate during the twentieth century Reviewed

    M Honda, S Yamane, H Nakamura

    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE   18 ( 14 )   2793 - 2802   2005.7

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    An interannual seesaw between the intensities of the Icelandic and Aleutian lows and its impact on surface climate observed during the twentieth century are investigated. In a recent period from the late 1960s to the early 1990s, their seesaw relationship was particularly apparent in late winter. The associated anomalies in surface air temperature were significant in many regions over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere except in central portions of the continents. The seesaw also modified the ocean-atmosphere exchange of heat and moisture extensively over the North Atlantic and North Pacific by changing evaporation and precipitation. Since the seesaw formation was triggered by eastward propagation of stationary Rossby wave trains from the North Pacific into the North Atlantic, anomalous circulation over the North Pacific in January was identified as a good precursor for February surface air temperatures in the Euro-Atlantic sector during that period.
    The seesaw relationship between the two lows underwent multidecadal modulations during the twentieth century. It was weak in the mid-1950s through the mid-1960s, while it was particularly strong during the preceding period from the 1920s to the 1940s with its impact on surface temperatures as extensive as in the recent period. Although it reached maturity in January, the precursory signal of the seesaw in that early period was also found in the North Pacific one month earlier, which suggests that the formation was through essentially the same mechanisms as in the recent period.

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  • Formation, mechanisms, and predictability of the Aleutian-Icelandic low seesaw in ensemble AGCM simulations Reviewed

    M Honda, Y Kushnir, H Nakamura, S Yamane, SE Zebiak

    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE   18 ( 9 )   1423 - 1434   2005.5

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    The potential predictability associated with the remote influence of midlatitude tropospheric anomalies over the North Pacific or the North Atlantic via a seesawlike interannual oscillation between the surface Aleutian and Icelandic lows (AL and IL, respectively) is investigated. Data from a 24-member ensemble of 50-yr atmospheric general circulation model simulation forced with observed sea surface temperature (SST) conditions are analyzed by separating the total simulated fluctuations into the external component forced by the prescribed SST and the internal component generated by atmospheric internal dynamics. The AL-IL seesaw can be identified in both the external and internal components of the variability. In the external variability, determined through the ensemble mean, the seesaw is gradually formed from December to March through the development of a Pacific-North American (PNA) patternlike wave train, remotely forced by the El Ni (n) over tildeo-Southern Oscillation. The amplitudes of the externally forced North Atlantic anomalies are only about half as large as the North Pacific anomalies. The potential predictability of the Atlantic anomalies, defined as the ratio of the SST-forced variance to the total variance, does not exceed the 20% level. In the internal component of the variability, determined from the deviations of each ensemble member from the ensemble mean, the negative correlation between the AL and IL anomalies is modest but persistent through winter. It is confirmed that, regardless of the polarity of the AL-IL seesaw, the IL anomalies are formed through eastward wave activity propagation of the stationary Rossby wave train emanating from the AL region in the form of what may be called a '' PNAA pattern,'' the extension of the PNA-like wave train into the Atlantic. Thus, the midwinter development of North Pacific anomalies is found to be a necessary, though not sufficient, condition for the seesaw formation. The persistence of the North Pacific anomalies beyond a 1-month time span appears to augment the probability of the seesaw formation by sustaining eastward wave activity propagation to the North Atlantic.

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  • Characteristics of heat transfer over the ice covered Sea of Okhotsk during cold-air outbreaks Reviewed

    J Inoue, J Ono, Y Tachibana, M Honda, K Iwamoto, Y Fujiyoshi, K Takeuchi

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   81 ( 5 )   1057 - 1067   2003.10

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    Heat transfer coefficients, and relative importance of factors affecting surface turbulent heat flux in sea-ice covered ocean, were investigated using data obtained by rawinsonde observations over, and around, the southwestern region of the Sea of Okhotsk from Jan. to Feb. in 1998, 1999 and 2000. The range of the fluxes estimated by an atmospheric heat budget analysis was large, associated with the ice concentration and synoptic situation. The turbulent heat fluxes from the open water surrounded by the sea ice are always positive (upward). However, the heat flux through sea-ice surface tends to be negative (downward) over sea-ice area associated with the relationship between the air and ice-surface temperature. Using the obtained turbulent heat fluxes and a bulk formula, relationships of turbulent heat fluxes with ice concentrations and atmospheric parameters were investigated, and a representative value of the bulk heat transfer coefficient was obtained. The estimated conditional bulk heat transfer coefficient (1.33 x 10(-3)) in the Sea of Okhotsk shows a smaller value than that in the Arctic region, reflecting the difference of the ice conditions, and thermal conditions in the boundary layer. Through an idea of the insulating coefficient, which measures degrees of the insulating effect of sea ice on the heat transfer, we explained that the sea ice works as a more effective insulator in weaker cold-air outbreaks. From a regression analysis, we found that the primary contribution to the amount of turbulent heat flux is the ice concentration, and second is the air temperature in the boundary layer.

    DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.81.1057

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  • Seesaw between the Aleutian and Icelandic lows

    Nakamura, H, M. Honda, S. Yamane, W. Ohfuchi

    Tenki   49 ( 8 )   701 - 709   2002.8

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  • Interannual seesaw between the Aleutian and Icelandic lows part III: Its influence upon the stratospheric variability Reviewed

    Hisashi Nakamura, Meiji Honda

    Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan   80 ( 4 B )   1051 - 1067   2002

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    Three-dimensional structure of quasi-stationary circulation anomalies observed in the course of a typical life cycle of an interannual seesaw between the surface Aleutian and Icelandic lows (AL and IL, respectively) is examined by using a reanalysis data set for the last three decades. A diagnosis is applied in a particular framework where the 31-day mean anomalies are regarded as stationary Rossby waves embedded in the zonally varying climatological-mean flow. It reveals that the upward propagation of wave activity into the stratosphere occurs in late winter primarily from the tropospheric anomalies corresponding to the anomalous IL, which develops below the entrance region of the lower-stratospheric polar night jet as a remote influence from the North Pacific. Accordingly, the North Atlantic anomalies exhibit apparent amplification and westward phase tilt with height, whereas the North Pacific anomalies are much more like the external mode. It appears that, in the presence of the zonal wavenumber 1 (k = 1) component of the climatological-mean planetary waves, the polar-night jet over the Pacific is shifted too far north to allow the stationary anomalies associated with the anomalous AL to propagate upward as stationary Rossby waves. Unlike the predominant signal of the Arctic Oscillation (or annular mode) that alters the intensity of the polar vortex, the seesaw modifies the stratospheric planetary-wave patterns in a modest but significant manner. In late winter when the AL is weaker than normal associated with a particular phase of the seesaw, the k = 1 component is masked by the enhanced zonal wavenumber 2 (k = 2) component embedded in the intensified polar-night jet. In contrast, the predominant k = 1 component embedded in the relatively weak polar-night jet dominates over the diminished k = 2 component in late winter, when the AL is stronger associated with the other phase of the seesaw. Our examination of seven late-winter major events of stratospheric sudden warming over the three recent decades suggests that the polarity of the AL-IL seesaw might set up a condition of which planetary wave component (k = 1 or k = 2) is more strongly involved in a late-winter warming event.

    DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.80.1051

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  • Estimation of surface heat flux based on rawinsonde observation in the southwestern part of the Sea of Okhotsk under ice-covered condition Reviewed

    K Iwamoto, K Domon, M Honda, Y Tachibana, K Takeuchi

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   79 ( 2 )   687 - 694   2001.4

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    Rawinsonde observation was performed in late January through early February in 1998 around the southwestern part of the Sea of Okhotsk to estimate the turbulent fluxes of sensible and latent heat over the ice-covered ocean during the winter monsoon. Upstream cold and stable air mass originated from the Eurasian continent was significantly modified through heat and moisture supply from warm sea surface with offshore cold-air outbreaks, which consequently formed mixed layer characterized by neutral stability over downstream areas. Associated with reduction of the top of the mixed layer height through the observational period, estimated heat fluxes also decreased gradually from 210 W m(-2) to 30 W m(-2). These decrease tendencies of the mixed layer height and estimated heat fluxes may reflect the increase of the insulating effect of the sea-ice cover on heat and moisture exchanges between the atmosphere and ocean.

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  • Air mass transformation processes over the southwestern region of the ice-covered Sea of Okhotsk during cold air outbreaks Reviewed

    J Inoue, M Honda, M Kawashima

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   79 ( 2 )   657 - 670   2001.4

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    Radio sounding and in-situ observations at land-based (26 January-11 February 1998) and ship stations (4-11 February 1998) were performed over the southwestern Sea of Okhotsk covered with sea ice to estimate turbulent heat flux and investigate characteristics of thermodynamic air mass transformation processes during cold-air outbreaks. Surface heat flux estimations were carried out using two indirect methods; an atmospheric heat budget analysis using the radio sounding data at three stations and a bulk method utilizing meteorological and sea ice thickness data obtained by the ship observations. The estimated total upward turbulent heat flux over the analyzed area was approximately 100 W m(-2) even within the intense cold-air outbreak period. The height of the mixing layer associated with this small amount of the heat flux is only about 1 km, which implies that sea ice acts as an insulating material between the ocean and atmosphere and thus significantly reduces the turbulent heat fluxes. Nevertheless, the upward turbulent heat flux from the ice surface was found to be non-negligible during cold-air outbreaks and it is suggested that the sea ice grows through the sea or ice surface cooling.

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  • Interannual seesaw between the Aleutian and Icelandic lows. Part II: Its significance in the interannual variability over the wintertime Northern Hemisphere Reviewed

    M Honda, H Nakamura

    JOURNAL OF CLIMATE   14 ( 24 )   4512 - 4529   2001

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    Through analysis of observational data for the period of 1973-94, the late-winter formation of an interannual seesaw between the surface Aleutian and Icelandic lows (AL and IL, respectively) is shown to significantly impact the covariance structure of the leading mode of the interannual variability in the geopotential height field over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere. The tropospheric leading mode for early winter (November-January) is characterized by a polar-midlatitude dipole over the Euro-Atlantic sector with a high degree of the annularity, coupled with the anomalous lower-stratospheric polar vortex. Over the North Pacific, no significant anomalies are associated with this mode. After the formation of the AL-IL seesaw, however, the dipole no longer dominates in the upper-tropospheric variability. The dipole signature is masked in late winter (February-April) by the predominant combined signature of the so-called Pacific-North American pattern and a meridional dipole over the northwestern Atlantic as an upper-level manifestation of the seesaw. Though somewhat less pronounced, the leading mode of the near-surface variability is modified accordingly in late winter by the superposition of the distinct signature of the AL-IL seesaw. The annularity of the leading mode of the tropospheric variability is thus reduced in late winter, particularly at the upper levels. Nevertheless, because of the particular geographical alignment between the anomalous AL and IL, their seesaw changes the zonal wind coherently between the two ocean basins, yielding a strong projection on the meridional plane whose latitudinal profile is almost indistinguishable from the counterpart of the Arctic-midlatitude dipole.
    It is argued that what is called the Arctic oscillation in some recent literature, defined as the leading mode of the sea level pressure variability for the entire cold season, may be interpreted as a superposition of the AL-IL seesaw upon a dominant signal of the Arctic-midlatitude dipole. The corresponding leading mode for the upper troposphere primarily represents the variability associated with the seesaw. It is also argued that the late-winter tropospheric variability over the North Atlantic may not necessarily be associated with the Arctic-midlatitude dipole. The remote influence of the North Pacific variability accounts for as much as 30%-50% of the variance in the vicinity of the IL for the data period considered.

    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<4512:ISBTAA>2.0.CO;2

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  • Influence of Okhotsk sea-ice extent on atmospheric circulation Reviewed

    M Honda, K Yamazaki, Y Tachibana, K Takeuchi

    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   23 ( 24 )   3595 - 3598   1996.12

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    An atmospheric general circulation model was used to investigate the influence of Okhotsk sea ice on large-scale atmospheric circulation. Significant differences in the model responses between heavy and light ice cover are evident not only around the Sea of Okhotsk but also downstream towards North America in the form of a stationary wavetrain in the troposphere. Because the wave activity flux associated vith the wavetrain emanates downstream from the Sea of Okhotsk, this remote response is regarded as a stationary Rossby wave excited thermally through an anomalous surface heat flux over the Sea of Okhotsk. The wavetrain is thermally reinforced downstream by the anomalous heat flux associated with wind anomalies over the ocean surface, which are induced by the wavetrain itself.

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  • The abrupt decrease of the sea ice over the southern part of the Sea of Okhotsk in 1989 and its relation to the recent weakening of the Aleutian low Reviewed

    Y Tachibana, M Honda, K Takeuchi

    JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   74 ( 4 )   579 - 584   1996.8

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    We investigated the interannual variation of the sea ice over the Sea of Okhotsk by using radar observation data and gridded ice-coverage data for the years 1969-1994. It became evident that the abrupt decrease of sea ice over the southern part of the Sea of Okhotsk occurred in 1989, and that this reduced-ice condition has continued since then. In addition, the winter time Aleutian low has abruptly weakened since 1989. According to the lag-correlation analysis, this weakening has brought about the reduction in extent of the ice-coverage.

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  • The influences of the sea ice and wind field on the winter air temperature variation in Hokkaido Reviewed

    Honda, M, Y. Tachibana, M. Wakatsuchi

    Proceedings of. NIPR Symposium on Polar Meteorology and Glaciology   8   81 - 94   1994.11

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    Variations of air temperature in Hokkaido during winter are characterized by the presence of two minima in ten-day normals; days 21-30 (end of January) and days 41-50 (middle of February). We name this tendency the "W-phenomenon", which is significant in the northern coastal area of Hokkaido facing the Sea of Okhotsk. The second minimum occurs when the ice cover is most extensive along the Okhotsk coast of Hokkaido. We examine this relation using rotated principal component analysis (RPCA). The RPCA results show that the second mode is a factor of the ice cover that is related to the second minimum. However, the correlation coefficient between rotated principal components of the second mode and ice concentration is rather low, -0.56. The RPCA results also show that the wind field is another factor that governs the "W-phenomenon". The relationship between the rotated principal components and wind directions shows that the drop in temperature in Hokkaido is associated with not only heavy ice cover but also northeasterly wind. Two mechanisms of the northeasterly wind system are expected : weak winds from an anticyclone over Okhotsk ice cover off Hokkaido and strong winds from a cyclone over the Pacific Ocean off the southeast coast of Hokkaido. Both these cases are possibly caused by the heavy ice cover in the Sea of Okhotsk. In the former mechanism, the wind directly carries cold air flow cooled over the sea ice. In the latter, the heavy ice cover prevents cyclones from moving into the Sea of Okhotsk.

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Awards

  • 平田賞

    2013.9   公益社団法人日本雪氷学会   海氷域変動が気象・気候に及ぼす影響のメカニズムの解明

    本田明治

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  • 大沼賞

    2013.5   公益社団法人日本雪氷学会北信越支部   海氷域変動が気象・気候に及ぼす影響のメカニズムの解明

    本田明治

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Research Projects

  • 極端気象がもたらす風水害の頻発化・激甚化で変わる地域社会の持続可能度評価

    Grant number:21K18788

    2021.7 - 2024.3

    System name:科学研究費助成事業 挑戦的研究(萌芽)

    Research category:挑戦的研究(萌芽)

    Awarding organization:日本学術振興会

    本田 明治

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    Grant amount:\6370000 ( Direct Cost: \4900000 、 Indirect Cost:\1470000 )

    本研究の目的は、近年の極端気象による風水害の頻発化・激甚化による地域社会生活環境への影響評価を通じて、気象災害に関する「地域持続可能度」を評価することである。本評価を地域力指標とした「災害や環境変化に強い地域社会」の構築に向け、次世代に引き継ぐ新しい学問分野「地域災害環境システム学」を提唱する。本研究で対象とする新潟地域は国内でも風水害が多く、近年は急速な人口減少による地域力低下も顕著で、我が国の行く末が先行する課題先進地域であり、地球温暖化による数度の気温上昇を見据えた中長期的視野も踏まえた地方再生・創生のロールモデルを提唱する。
    2021年度はまず「(1)地域を知る-地域社会の多階層構造の診断による地域力評価-」の取り組みを開始した。本課題メンバーが個々の研究において連携してきた各市町村(小千谷市、阿賀町、出雲崎町、関川村、佐渡市)を対象地域として、急速に進む人口減少の中で災害や環境変化に向き合う地域力の変遷の評価体制の検討を進めている。しかしながら各市町村により大きく状況が異なることから並行調査体制を見直し、初めに佐渡市を対象として課題メンバーの協働体制で「地域持続可能度」評価の検討を実施することとし、現地調査を開始した。この過程で、本学研究企画室主任URA長谷川佐知子氏に研究協力者として参画頂き、今後も継続して本課題をご支援頂くこととなった。
    新学問分野「地域災害環境システム学」に関しては、本学で展開する全学分野横断創生プログラム(NICE)のマイナー学修パッケージ開設の準備を本課題メンバーに加え学内教員の協力の中で進め、2022年4月に14科目で構成される「地域災害環境システム」パッケージとして開設された。必修科目の「地域災害環境システム学入門」は定員30名に対して約80名の履修希望があり、順調な滑り出しと言える。

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  • Physical processes involved in the formation and fluctuation of the baiu front

    Grant number:21H00626

    2021.4 - 2025.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

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    Grant amount:\17030000 ( Direct Cost: \13100000 、 Indirect Cost:\3930000 )

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  • 東アジア縁辺海と大気の連鎖的双方向作用とモンスーン変調

    Grant number:19H05698

    2019.6 - 2024.3

    System name:科学研究費助成事業 新学術領域研究(研究領域提案型)

    Research category:新学術領域研究(研究領域提案型)

    Awarding organization:日本学術振興会

    立花 義裕, 柏野 祐二, 榎本 剛, 滝川 哲太郎, 本田 明治, 木田 新一郎, 相木 秀則, 加古 真一郎

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    Grant amount:\157300000 ( Direct Cost: \121000000 、 Indirect Cost:\36300000 )

    異常天候をもたらす「犯人」は大気だけなのか?東アジアには縁辺海(東シナ海・黄海・日本海・オホーツク海)が存在する.縁辺海は,海洋上を東進する低気圧の「ゆりかご」である.ゆりかごの中で動く低気圧は,ゆりかごを再び揺らし,また低気圧を揺らす.言い換えれば,「縁辺海上で発生した低気圧に伴って吹く風は海流を駆動し、海流による熱の輸送は水温分布を変える.水温は海面での熱交換を経て気圧分布に反映され風系を変え,その風がまた海流を駆動する.つまり大気と海洋は不可分一体の平衡状態または振動系である」この新概念を船舶等による機動的観測と技巧的数値実験を融合し実証することを研究目的とする.
    2020年度は本格的観測に入る前の観測準備のため,日本海近傍や東シナ海を母港に持つ練習船を有する機関の研究分担者や協力者,そして担当の航海士と船舶観測のすりあわせ等昨年度の引き続き行った.また,離島に大気海洋観測装置を設置した.また測器開発なども行った.それらを踏まえ,冬期には日本海の発生する雪雲と海洋環境のラジオゾンデ観測を実施した.それに平行して,海洋が大気に及ぼす影響や縁辺海の長期変動に関する数値的統計的研究を昨年度から引き続き実施した.大気海洋の物理過程が,海洋生物生産過程へ及ぼす影響についての予備調査にも着手した.また気象キャスター等と連携した一般メディアでの情報発信活動も積極的に行った.海氷や海面水温が厳冬に及ぼす効果や,大気へ遠隔的に及ぼす影響や冷たいオホーツク海が梅雨に及ぼす影響,台風の進路誤差の研究,日本海の水温の長期トレンドなど特筆すべき新たな研究成果が原著論文となった.

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  • Quantitative Evaluation of the Predictability of Tornado and Gust Phenomena by Cutoff Low

    Grant number:17H02067

    2017.4 - 2021.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    Honda Akiharu

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    Grant amount:\14560000 ( Direct Cost: \11200000 、 Indirect Cost:\3360000 )

    The cutoff low is a cold air system in the upper troposphere that often accompanies extreme weather events such as tornadoes and wind gusts that cause disasters. The cutoff-low (COL) index, which objectively evaluates the location of the center, intensity, and radius of influence of the cutoff low, has been developed to improve the lead time for predicting extreme weather events associated with cold extremes. The COL index is available as the COL Map on the "Cutoff Low Tracking and Monitoring System," a website for monitoring cold air behaviors in the upper troposphere at Niigata University.

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  • Interhemispheric Synchronization Between the AO and the AAO

    Grant number:16K13880

    2016.4 - 2019.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    Tachibana Yoshihiro, Yamazaki Koji, Komatsu Kensuke

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    Grant amount:\3510000 ( Direct Cost: \2700000 、 Indirect Cost:\810000 )

    he Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) are dominant atmospheric variability patterns in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, respectively. Each is a pressure seesaw between the pole and the midlatitudes that remotely affects weather, climate, and environment around the world. We showed interhemispheric in-phase synchronization between the AO and AAO in October and February, and we also found decadal-scale variation of the synchronicity. Because the vertical structure of the AO-AAO synchronization extends from the troposphere to the stratosphere, stratospheric variations may be responsible for the synchronization. This finding of AO-AAO synchronization points the way to a better understanding of past, present, and future pole-to-pole climatic relationships and improvements in long-term weather forecasts.

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  • Spatio-temporal fluctuations of snow depth distribution caused by the cyclone passage the south coast of Japan and development of snowmap by using the meso-scale model

    Grant number:15K01161

    2015.4 - 2018.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    IYOBE TSUTOMU, MATSUMOTO Takane

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    Grant amount:\4290000 ( Direct Cost: \3300000 、 Indirect Cost:\990000 )

    Due to change the horizontal place of generation and intensity of snowfalls by passing route of cyclones, it is difficult to understand the actual status of extreme snowfall phenomenon in the areas of the Pacific Ocean. In this study, spatio-temporal fluctuations of snow depth distribution were analyzed in a climatological context to assess the regional characteristics of snowfall amount and intensity after the cyclone passage the south coast of Japan. The result demonstrate the annual frequency of heavy snowfall varies depending on the areas, and the gradient of snow depth distribution of on the mountain tends to be smaller than those of the area facing the Sea of Japan.

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  • Investigations of heavy snowfall disaster in the Kanto-Koshin district on Feburuary 14-16, 2014

    Grant number:25900003

    2014.4 - 2015.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Special Purposes

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Special Purposes

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    IZUMI Kaoru, NAKAI Sento, UENO Kenichi, KAWASHIMA Katsuhisa, IYOBE Tsutomu, KAMIISHI Isao, KOSUGI Kenji, AKIYAMA Kazuya, IRASAWA Naoya, GOTO Satoshi, WAKAI Akihiko, NUMANO Natsuo, KAMIMURA Seiji, TAKAHASHI Toru, UEMATSU Yasushi, INOUE Satoshi, MORIYAMA Hideki, FUKUHARA Teruyuki, YAMAGUCHI Satoru, NISHIMURA Kouichi, ODA Kenichi, HONDA Meiji, YAMAZAKI Akira

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    Grant amount:\8100000 ( Direct Cost: \8100000 )

    We have investigated the heavy snowfall event and disaster that occurred in the Kanto-Koshin district on Feburuary 14-16, with special attention to meteorological and snowfall characteristics, atmospheric circulation fields, snow cover distribution, snowpack properties, snow avalanche and snowmelt disasters, snow damages of buildings and greenhouses, traffic disturbances, and avalanche hazard map. Consequently, the meteorological and snow hazards that brought this disaster was clarified as well as the actual situation of the disaster. Finally, we proposed future disaster mitigation measures against heavy snowfall in the Pacific Ocean side of Japan.

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  • Storm-track variability prior to blocking: Mechanism and predictability

    Grant number:25800267

    2013.4 - 2016.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    YAMAZAKI Akira, INOUE Jun, ITOH Hisanori, NAOE Hiroaki, HONDA Meiji

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    Grant amount:\3900000 ( Direct Cost: \3000000 、 Indirect Cost:\900000 )

    We investigated the relationships between the maintenance and predictability variations of blocking characterized by a pronounced meandering of the midlatitude westerly jet stream and an upstream storm track which is a frequent region of travelling highs and lows, via both diagnostic study of reanalysis data and weather forecast experiments. Through case study, we found that the maintenance of blocking is supported by the interaction with the storm track and predictability variation of the block maintenance is related to strength (efficiency) of the interaction.
    We also investigated how error in the initial values for weather-forecast experiments existing at an extratropical region propagates by using the reanalysis data and a weather forecast model same as the above study. Results showed that the error propagate eastward from initial positions via the westerly jet stream in the upper troposphere.

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  • Understandings of mechanisms of recent extreme heavy snowfall events in Japan and construction of a real-time analysis system

    Grant number:24540470

    2012.4 - 2015.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    HONDA Akiharu, KAWASHIMA Katsuhisa, NAKAI Sento

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    Grant amount:\5070000 ( Direct Cost: \3900000 、 Indirect Cost:\1170000 )

    Extreme weather events often bring natural hazards in Japan. In particular, heavy snowfall brings great damages for inhabitants life with various disasters. Associated with recent Arctic climate changes, cold waves often attack the Far East region during winter in recent 10 years, which caused many extreme heavy snowfall events in Japan. Towards understandings of such extreme snowfall events in Japan, we developed an online auto-collecting system using weather observational network. Further, we constructed “Real-time analysis system”based on integrated data auto-collecting and analyzing system through installation of regional weather forecast models.

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  • Comprehensive Study of the Formation and Variability of the Tropo-spheric Circulation by Utilizing Latest Reanalysis Dataset

    Grant number:18204044

    2006 - 2009

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    NAKAMURA Hisashi, TAKAYABU N. Yukari, MUKOUGAWA Hitoshi, HIROOKA Toshihiko, TANIMOTO Youichi, HONDA Meiji, YAMANE Shozo, TAKAYA Koutarou, KAMAHORI Hirotaka, CHIBA Osamu, TSUTSUI Junichi, YAMAZAKI Nobuo, ONOGI Kazutoshi, HATSUSHIKA Hiroshi

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    Grant amount:\48620000 ( Direct Cost: \37400000 、 Indirect Cost:\11220000 )

    Through analysis of the new reanalysis data of the global atmosphere (JRA-25) and numerical modeling, (1) we have postulated a new framework of the atmospheric general circulation with particular emphasis on the role of interaction with midlatitude oceanic frontal zones in the formation of westerly jet and its dominant variability, (2) revealed the characteristics of two anomaly patterns as a dynamical mode that influence of the summertime Bonin High, (3) elucidated the dynamics of the Southern Hemisphere summertime subtropical highs, and (4) assessed the pre-dictability of the tropospherestratosphere coupled variability.

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  • Research on the formation mechanism of the Cold Ocean-Warm Land pattern

    Grant number:18540441

    2006 - 2008

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    HONDA Akiharu, YAMANE Shozo, TAKAYA Koutarou, NAKAMURA Hisashi

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    Grant amount:\3960000 ( Direct Cost: \3300000 、 Indirect Cost:\660000 )

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Teaching Experience

  • 自然科学総論I

    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然科学総論IV

    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然環境科学研究演習

    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然科学総論III

    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然科学総論II

    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然科学総論V

    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 理学基礎演習

    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 地域災害環境システム学演習

    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • エネルギー物質科学

    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 地域災害環境システム学入門

    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境学演習

    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • SDGs入門

    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境ファシリテーター論及び演習

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 科学英語演習

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境ガバナンス概論

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 基礎雪氷学

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 気候システム論

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 理学スタディ・スキルズ

    2021
    -
    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究B

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究C

    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究(自然環境)C

    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 温暖化メカニズム・影響学

    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 卒業論文

    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究

    2020
    -
    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 卒業論文Ⅱ

    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 卒業論文Ⅰ

    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 気象解析実習

    2019
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然環境科学総論

    2018
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境物理学

    2018
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 理学スタディ・スキルズ

    2018
    -
    2022
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 農学入門Ⅱ

    2018
    -
    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 農学入門Ⅰ

    2018
    -
    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然環境科学実験A2

    2017
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 数理演習

    2017
    -
    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究C

    2017
    -
    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 総合力アクティブ・ラーニング

    2017
    -
    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究A

    2017
    -
    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究B

    2017
    -
    2021
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境学演習

    2016
    -
    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 基礎数理演習II

    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 課題研究(自然環境)

    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 基礎数理演習I

    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然科学実験法

    2014
    -
    2017
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 研究発表演習Ⅰ(中間発表)

    2013
    -
    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境科学特定研究Ⅰ

    2013
    -
    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 研究発表演習Ⅰ(学外発表)

    2013
    -
    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境科学総合演習Ⅰ

    2013
    -
    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境科学セミナーⅠ

    2013
    -
    2014
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境科学特定演習Ⅰ

    2012
    -
    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境気象学

    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 地球流体力学

    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 流体物理学

    2011
    -
    2018
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 気候システム論

    2011
    -
    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 環境科学スタディスキルズ

    2011
    -
    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 地球システム科学

    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然環境科学特論D

    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 海洋学

    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 安全教育

    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 地球と気象

    2010
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 地球物理学特論I

    2010
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 大気物理学特論I

    2010
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 基礎雪氷学

    2010
    -
    2019
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然環境科学実験A

    2010
    -
    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 自然環境科学概論A

    2010
    -
    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 気象学

    2010
    -
    2011
    Institution name:新潟大学

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