Updated on 2026/02/02

写真a

 
FUSHIKI Tadayoshi
 
Organization
Academic Assembly Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences KYOIKUGAKU KEIRETU Professor
Faculty of Education Mathematical and Natural Sciences Professor
Graduate School of Science and Technology Fundamental Sciences Professor
Title
Professor
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Degree

  • 博士(工学) ( 2003.3   東京大学 )

Research Areas

  • Natural Science / Applied mathematics and statistics

  • Informatics / Statistical science

Research History (researchmap)

  • Research Organization of Information and Systems The Institute of Statistical Mathematics

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  • Niigata University Faculty of Education, Chair of Mathematical and Natural Sciences

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Research History

  • Niigata University   Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences, Academic Assembly   Professor

    2025.4

  • Niigata University   Fundamental Sciences, Graduate School of Science and Technology   Professor

    2025.4

  • Niigata University   Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Education   Professor

    2025.4

  • Niigata University   Faculty of Education Mathematical and Natural Sciences   Associate Professor

    2014.4 - 2025.3

  • Niigata University   Graduate School of Education School Subjects   Associate Professor

    2014.4 - 2025.3

 

Papers

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Research Projects

  • A Study of the Japanese National Character: Succession and Development

    Grant number:23H00062

    2023.4 - 2027.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

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    Grant amount:\48750000 ( Direct Cost: \37500000 、 Indirect Cost:\11250000 )

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  • A study on variable selection in nonresponse adjustment

    Grant number:15K00043

    2015.4 - 2019.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    Fushiki Tadayoshi

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    Grant amount:\2340000 ( Direct Cost: \1800000 、 Indirect Cost:\540000 )

    In order to investigate the properties of variable selection methods for nonresponse adjustment techniques, real data analysis and computer simulation were conducted. Several variable selection methods were compared by real data. The results showed that they did not affect the estimates as much as expected. Computer simulation studies showed that unnecessary auxiliary variables do not affect the estimates too much in a special situation.

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  • A Study on the quality control of interviewer-mediated surveys using survey paradata and methods of nonresponse bias adjustment

    Grant number:15H03424

    2015.4 - 2018.3

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    Maeda Tadahiko, KIKKAWA Toru, KATO Naoko

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    Grant amount:\16120000 ( Direct Cost: \12400000 、 Indirect Cost:\3720000 )

    This study examined the survey paradata, which mainly means data about the survey process obtained in the administration of surveys, for the purpose of improving the quality of survey operation by using this information. We also discussed the methods for evaluating nonreseponse bias which could be caused by low response rates, and methods for adjusting for the bias. Survey modes included in this study were traditional face-to-face interviewing with paper questionnaire, self-administered questionnaire, telephone interview by RDD, Web surveys and on-site smart-card record of visitor's behavior. By analyzing the visit record in interviewer-mediated surveys and call record of RDD surveys, we can understand the interviewer behavior more precisely and we can make use of these findings in interviewer training. By analyzing paradata such as response time in CAPI survey or Web survey, we can deepen our understandings on the respondent behavior.

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  • A study on Bayesian prediction and bootstrap prediction

    Grant number:20700260

    2008 - 2009

    System name:Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research

    Research category:Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

    Awarding organization:Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    FUSHIKI Tadayoshi

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    Grant amount:\1300000 ( Direct Cost: \1000000 、 Indirect Cost:\300000 )

    The problem to predict future observations based on past observations is one of the problems that are widely interested in statistics. In this study, we clarified the relation between bootstrap prediction and Bayesian prediction and calculated the predictive performances of them, both theoretically and experimentally. For real data analysis, we developed a method for evaluating the predictive performance.

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  • アンサンブル法の統計的予測問題への適用

    Grant number:17700286

    2005 - 2007

    System name:科学研究費助成事業

    Research category:若手研究(B)

    Awarding organization:日本学術振興会

    伏木 忠義

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    Grant amount:\1800000 ( Direct Cost: \1800000 )

    これまでと同様に,Kullback-Leiblerダイバージェンスを損失関数とした統計的予測問題を考えた.昨年,サンプル数がモデルの大きさに比べて大きいとはいえない状況で,ブートストラップ予測を構成するときに問題が生じることを示し,その問題を解決する方法を考えた.具体的には,Rubinが提案したベイジアン・ブートストラップを用いて予測分布を構成する手法を提案した.昨年度は,ベイジアン・ブートストラップを用いた予測分布について,漸近理論を用いて理論解析を行うとともに,簡単なモデルを使って理論の確認を行ったが,本年度は実データを用いて現実的な状況でその有効性を調べた.Boston郊外の家の値段を,その地域の犯罪率,ある広さ当たりの住居地の占める割り合い,街に占める小売店以外の会社の広さの割り合いといった量をもとにして予測するBoston Housing Dataなどのデータを用いて,ベイジアン・ブートストラップ予測,ブートストラップ予測,プラグイン予測の予測性能の比較を行った.複雑な現象を扱う場合には,大きなモデルを使う必要があるが,サンプル数とパラメータ数が近い状況となる.そのような状況ではブートストラップ予測では問題が生じることがあり,ベイジアン・ブートストラップ予測の安定性が確認された.漸近理論を用いたブートストラップ予測のプラグイン予測に対する予測の改良分は2次のオーダーであり,データ数が大きな場合は小さな量となると考えらけるが,このような状況では予測の改良分は大きく,本手法の有効性が確認された.また,本年度は,これらの結果をまとめ,論文として投稿した.

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Teaching Experience

  • 数学・数学教育学研究入門

    2021
    -
    2023
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 微分積分学I

    2020
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 統計学特講

    2018
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • ベイズ統計学概論

    2017
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 応用解析学II

    2017
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 統計学特論Ⅰ

    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 応用解析学I

    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • スタディ・スキルズH

    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 小学校算数

    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 数学科教材開発研究特論

    2015
    -
    2016
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 解析学特論II

    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 統計学II

    2014
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 卒業研究

    2014
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 統計学I

    2014
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 情報数学II

    2014
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 情報数学I

    2014
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • くらしと数理

    2014
    -
    2017
    Institution name:新潟大学

  • 情報教育論

    2014
    -
    2015
    Institution name:新潟大学

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